Tuesday, October 14, 2008

Federal Election

Why another minority government is very likely: Simple arithmetic bears it out. The Bloc will probably retain around their 48 seats. That leaves only 260 seats for the other three. If the Tories take a good majority of what's left, say 150, that leaves only 110 for the two Leftarded parties, the Liberals and the NDP. The NDP will probably increase their share a bit to around 35. That means only 75 for the Liberals for a party loss of 20 (one can only hope!). But 308-150 does not equal a majority for the Tories. Too bad! Get out and vote. Vote early, vote often!

4 comments:

John van Popta said...

I'm sticking to my "Conservative Majority" prediction....

jvp

George van Popta said...

John, I hope you are right and that I'm wrong.

gullchasedship said...

It's a war of attrition. Even if the Conservatives end up with a minority, they still put the Liberals deeper in the hole financially. This is especially true if the Libs decide to have another leadership campaign.

YFNWG said...

Odds of a majority are pretty slim.